Sport

How close are the brewers to a wildcard point? Let’s take a closer look at Milwaukee in the National League standings


Going into September 25, the Milwaukee Brewers are 1½ games behind the nearest playoff spot, but really 2½ as Milwaukee doesn’t have the tiebreak advantage with their closest rival, the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Brewers are on the verge of missing the playoffs for the first time since 2017, but their four-game winning streak has at least made things a little more interesting.

Brewers would certainly prefer to win the National League Central Division title, but St. They are 6½ games behind Louis. To clinch the division, the Cardinals’ magic number is 4.

If the Brewers get the third wild card, it’s likely St. They’ll face the NL Central champion Cardinals for best-of-three in St. For this, fasten your seat belts.

If the Brewers can advance to the second wild card spot, they will face the first wild card winner in their best-of-three series, either the Atlanta or the New York Mets. Facing Atlanta will represent the 2021 playoff rematch.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are on the run with their top spot in the playoffs, and the NL East winner will likely join them for a first-round goodbye.

Here’s where the Brewers stand relative to other teams battling for their final NL playoff spots:

Rankings (based on September 24 games)

NATIONAL LEAGUE CENTER

NATIONAL LEAGUE WILD CARD

(three teams win playoff berths)

  • Atlanta 94-58 (better than the Brewers, 10 games ahead of second place)

  • San Diego 84-68 (½ game ahead of Phillies, 2 ahead of Brewers)

  • Philadelphia 83-68 (1½ ahead of Brewers)

  • Milwaukee 82-70

Milwaukee Breweries (82-70)

Games left behind in Central:

Games behind the third wild card:

Games behind the second wild card: 2

Remaining games against the winning teams: 2

Games on the way: one

Stay-at-home games: 9

What’s the Brewers magic trick to clinch a playoff spot?

Technically, there isn’t one; Magic numbers are valid for the leading team. Not brewers. But equally, the Breweries need 13 results in their battle with the San Diego Padres (Brewers win or the Padres lose) and 13 results in their battle with the Phillies (Beers win or the Phillies lose) to bypass them for a playoff. stain.

What is Brewers’ qualifying number?

10 (at war with Phillies) and 9 (with San Diego).

What if the Brewers draw with the Phillies or the Padres?

The Brewers have no tiebreaks on either team and would miss the playoffs if the final lands on a draw for the playoffs, as it’s no longer the 163rd Game. Brewers will also be the only team to have a triple draw.

The Brewers lost the tiebreak due to a head-to-head season streak, losing 4-3 to San Diego and 4-2 to Philadelphia.

What are Brewers’ playoff odds?

Fangraphs gives Brewers a 32.8% chance (until September 23) and Baseball Reference gives them a 33.2% chance (through games on September 23).

  • 1 in Cincinnati (59-93)

  • 2 against St. Louis (89-64)

  • 4 vs Miami (63-89)

  • 3 against Arizona (71-82)

San Diego Padres (84-68)

Padres starting pitcher Yu Darvish (11) took the field in the first inning against the Tigers at Comerica Park on July 27, 2022.

Games ahead of the Phillies for the second wild card: ½

Games ahead of Brewers: 2

Remaining games against the winning teams: 3

Games on the way: one

Stay-at-home games: 9

Josh Hader Watch: Ex-Brewers relaxing has now begun

Former Brewers closer Josh Hader made his sixth consecutive goalless appearance and helped the Padres reach the extras on September 23.

The former Brewers close has appeared in 15 games for San Diego and allowed 13 wins in 12⅓ innings, but now he has four saves with his new team and he’s had his dreadful August behind him.

  • 1 in Colorado (65-86)

  • 3 – Los Angeles Dodgers (105-47)

  • 3 – Chicago White Sox (76-76)

  • 3 – San Francisco (74-78)

Philadelphia Phillies (83-68)

Aug 6, 2022;  Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA;  Philadelphia Phillies batsman Nick Castellanos (8) sprints for first base after a one-shot against the Washington Nationals on the first inning at Citizens Bank Park.  Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-USA Sports TODAY

Aug 6, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies batsman Nick Castellanos (8) sprints for first base after a one-shot against the Washington Nationals on the first inning at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-USA Sports TODAY

Games behind the Padres for the second wild card: ½

Games ahead of Brewers:

Remaining games against the winning teams: 4

Games on the way: 10

Stay-at-home games: one

The Phillies go on a long journey, but…

The Phillies are theoretically finishing the season hard with 10 away games and closing with three games against American League West heavyweight Houston, but the team with the best record in the AL probably won’t need to go all out at the end of the season.

JR Radcliffe can be reached at (262) 361-9141 or jradcliffe@gannett.com. follow him on twitter @JRRadcliffe.

Our subscribers make this reporting possible. Please consider supporting local journalism by subscribing to Journal Sentinel at jsonline.com/deal.

DOWNLOAD THE APP: Get the latest news, sports and more

This article was originally published in the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel: Where are the Brewers in the NL wildcard rankings, MLB playoff odds?





Source link

About the author

nismiste

Leave a Comment